Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 1
ASN
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
ASN
3 - 1
LYO
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
ASN
3 - 2
NIC
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
GIR
2 - 0
ASN
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
ASN
1 - 3
TOU
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
LIL
2 - 2
GIR
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
NIC
1 - 2
LIL
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
LIL
0 - 1
MET
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
NAN
4 - 1
LIL
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |