Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
MON
1 - 0
ASN
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
ASN
3 - 1
REI
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1976 |
MET
4 - 1
ASN
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1976 |
ASN
0 - 1
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
STR
1 - 5
ASN
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
LIL
0 - 3
NIC
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
LYO
3 - 0
LIL
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIL
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1976 |
LIL
2 - 1
PSG
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
ASS
3 - 1
LIL
77%
15%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |