Nancy vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
MET
1 - 2
ASN
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
ASN
1 - 1
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
STL
1 - 1
ASN
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
ASN
1 - 1
BRE
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
TFC
1 - 0
ASN
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
LEN
3 - 1
GIR
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
NÎM
2 - 1
LEN
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
LEN
1 - 0
SOC
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
LIL
3 - 1
LEN
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
LEN
2 - 2
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |