Nancy vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASN
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
ASN
4 - 1
STL
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 2
ASN
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
ASN
4 - 1
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 1
ASN
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
LEN
3 - 3
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
NIC
1 - 0
LEN
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
LEN
2 - 2
REI
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
ANG
3 - 2
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
LEN
3 - 3
PSG
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |