Nancy vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
ASB
0 - 1
ASN
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 1
NÎM
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
NIO
0 - 0
ASN
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 0
ASN
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
ASN
2 - 1
STR
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
LHA
0 - 0
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
ESW
2 - 2
LHA
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
LHA
2 - 1
CAE
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2002 |
LMU
2 - 0
LHA
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
LHA
3 - 1
LUS
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |