Nancy vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
SED
3 - 1
ASN
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
AUX
2 - 1
ASN
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
ASN
1 - 2
MON
21%
26%
54%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
ASN
2 - 0
LOR
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1999 |
LHA
0 - 0
MAR
27%
28%
46%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
NAN
1 - 0
LHA
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
MET
1 - 0
LHA
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
LHA
1 - 1
MPL
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1999 |
SOC
1 - 0
LHA
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |