Nancy vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
SED
1 - 1
ASN
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ASN
1 - 0
SOC
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
TFC
2 - 0
ASN
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
ASN
2 - 1
ASS
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
LEN
4 - 1
ASN
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
LHA
0 - 1
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
SFP
1 - 1
LHA
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
LHA
2 - 0
REN
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
TFC
1 - 0
LHA
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
LHA
1 - 2
NÎM
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |