Nancy vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
STL
2 - 0
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ASN
0 - 0
GRE
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
AMI
2 - 1
ASN
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ASN
2 - 1
IST
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
TRO
1 - 1
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NIO
1 - 3
FCG
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FCG
1 - 0
IST
38%
29%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
ANG
2 - 1
FCG
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
FCG
1 - 1
STL
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
SED
1 - 1
FCG
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |