Nancy vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
CLE
0 - 0
ASN
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 2
AMI
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
NIO
1 - 2
ASN
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
ASN
2 - 1
GUI
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
ASN
0 - 1
STL
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
LUS
2 - 0
LOR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
LUS
3 - 3
MPL
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
ANG
1 - 1
LUS
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2005 |
LUS
0 - 1
TRO
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
DIJ
1 - 0
LUS
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |