Nancy vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
GRE
2 - 3
ASN
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ASN
3 - 3
CAE
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
FCG
1 - 0
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 1
ASN
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 1
LHA
49%
26%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LUS
2 - 2
CHA
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
IST
0 - 0
LUS
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
LUS
1 - 3
NIO
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
STR
0 - 2
LUS
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
LUS
0 - 0
STL
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |