Nancy vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
ASN
0 - 1
ESW
67%
22%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
LIL
0 - 2
ASN
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
ASS
1 - 3
ASN
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
ASN
0 - 1
LMU
61%
23%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
LUS
1 - 3
ASN
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
NIO
1 - 1
FCG
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
AMI
0 - 2
NIO
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
NIO
0 - 0
AJA
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
ESW
2 - 3
NIO
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
NIO
0 - 2
ASS
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |