Nancy vs Bourg-Péronnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
8º
2º
8
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
7 | 55 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 54 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 53 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 50 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 45 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 44 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 42 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 42 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
35.5% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ASN
0 - 1
DIJ
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SOC
2 - 3
ASN
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ASN
2 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VER
0 - 0
ASN
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ASN
3 - 0
CON
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bourg-Péronnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
LMU
1 - 2
BOU
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 0
BOU
57%
23%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
USB
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DIJ
0 - 1
BOU
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |