Nancy vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
ASN
0 - 0
ESW
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
NIO
3 - 2
ASN
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
IST
2 - 0
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 2
MET
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
CHA
4 - 0
NIO
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
ASS
0 - 0
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 1
LMU
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
MET
2 - 0
CHA
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
CHA
3 - 1
LOR
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |