Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
REN
1 - 0
ASN
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
ASN
0 - 0
AUX
19%
26%
54%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
MET
1 - 0
ASN
71%
20%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
ASN
0 - 1
LHA
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
LYO
2 - 0
ASN
71%
19%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
BAS
4 - 2
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
STR
1 - 3
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
GIR
3 - 1
BAS
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
LIL
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |