Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
AUX
4 - 0
ASN
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1983 |
ASN
1 - 2
PSG
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
SPO
0 - 0
ASN
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
ASN
2 - 0
ASS
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
LEN
3 - 1
ASN
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 0
LIL
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
NÎM
0 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
BAS
0 - 2
SOC
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
REN
4 - 1
BAS
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |