Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1979 |
ASN
2 - 3
STL
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1979 |
MON
1 - 3
ASN
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
MET
3 - 1
ASN
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1979 |
ASN
2 - 1
PSG
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
LYO
2 - 1
ASN
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1979 |
BAS
3 - 2
REI
76%
15%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1979 |
STR
2 - 0
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
STL
0 - 1
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
BAS
4 - 1
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |