Nancy vs Avignon AS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
LYO
1 - 0
ASN
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
ASN
5 - 1
SOC
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
ASN
1 - 1
NÎM
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
TRO
3 - 0
ASN
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
ASN
3 - 0
LEN
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
ASA
1 - 1
PSG
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASA
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 3
ASS
20%
28%
53%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
LEN
3 - 1
ASA
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
ASA
0 - 1
MET
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |