Nancy vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
ASN
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ASN
1 - 1
NIO
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CLE
1 - 2
ASN
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 0
ASN
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NÎM
2 - 2
ASN
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
AUX
1 - 0
CLE
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ETG
4 - 0
AUX
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
AUX
1 - 0
NÎM
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
AUX
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
TOU
3 - 1
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |