Nancy vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 1
ASN
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 2
SOC
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 0
ASN
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 1
LIL
23%
26%
52%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ASN
4 - 0
LEN
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AUX
4 - 1
AJA
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 1
AUX
53%
26%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AUX
2 - 2
MAR
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MPL
3 - 1
AUX
35%
28%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
AUX
2 - 1
KAI
75%
18%
7%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |