Nancy vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
SOC
0 - 1
ASN
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
ASN
1 - 2
TFC
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASN
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
ASN
4 - 0
MET
62%
20%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
STL
0 - 0
ASN
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
AUX
1 - 1
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
FCM
3 - 2
AUX
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
AUX
4 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
FCR
1 - 1
AUX
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
AUX
3 - 1
TOU
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |