Nancy vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1982 |
NAN
5 - 1
ASN
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1982 |
ASN
0 - 0
LEN
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASN
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
ASN
0 - 0
ASS
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
PSG
1 - 2
ASN
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1982 |
AUX
3 - 0
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1982 |
NIC
4 - 0
AUX
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
AUX
0 - 1
NAN
35%
25%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
AUX
3 - 0
SOC
38%
24%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 2
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |