Nancy vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
PFC
1 - 1
ASN
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ASN
0 - 1
AUX
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
ASN
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ASN
1 - 1
NIO
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CLE
1 - 2
ASN
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
AUX
37%
29%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CLE
2 - 1
AJA
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
STL
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
NÎM
0 - 0
AJA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 2
TOU
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |