Nancy II vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SOC
0 - 2
NAN
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLY
4 - 2
NAN
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MOA
0 - 0
NAN
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NAN
0 - 0
BOU
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 1
NAN
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
YZE
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
OLY
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
MOA
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 0
VAL
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
VAL
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |