Nancy II vs Strasbourg Koenigshoffen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
10º
8º
34
2º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
REI
1 - 0
NAN
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
RAO
43%
23%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
NAN
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 3
BEL
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 0
NAN
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 1
STR
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MEZ
1 - 2
OBE
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
THA
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 3
OBE
68%
18%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 0
MET
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |