Nancy II vs Sarreguemines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
NAN
2 - 1
FCS
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
RCE
2 - 0
NAN
30%
26%
45%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
NAN
10 - 1
COL
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
THA
2 - 1
NAN
17%
23%
60%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ILL
1 - 0
NAN
15%
21%
63%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 3
SAI
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 0
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
ILL
52%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RCE
0 - 0
SAR
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
THA
3 - 0
SAR
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |