Nancy II vs Sarre-Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
10º
8º
35
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 4
NAN
34%
22%
44%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
REI
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
RAO
1 - 5
NAN
61%
20%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 1
MET
40%
23%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAN
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
THA
3 - 0
SAR
33%
23%
45%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
PON
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
6 - 0
MET
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 1
SAR
11%
15%
75%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
APM
76%
15%
10%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | +1 |