Nancy II vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
10º
8º
32
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
NAN
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 3
BEL
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 0
NAN
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
THL
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
REI
0 - 0
NAN
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RAO
3 - 1
STR
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MEZ
2 - 0
RAO
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RAO
0 - 1
TRO
37%
26%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 0
THA
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 2
RAO
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |