Nancy II vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
NAN
1 - 1
RAO
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NAN
2 - 0
VIL
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
NAN
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
AMN
2 - 3
NAN
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NAN
0 - 2
SAR
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 1
MET
59%
23%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MET
0 - 0
MOU
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
YZE
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SOC
2 - 1
MET
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MET
6 - 1
VIL
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |