Nancy II vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
FCM
2 - 2
NAN
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 1
NAN
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
NAN
3 - 0
IVR
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
NAN
1 - 1
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
BRC
2 - 0
NAN
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LYO
3 - 2
SOC
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
LYO
1 - 1
IVR
40%
28%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
PSG
6 - 1
LYO
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
LYO
2 - 1
BEL
45%
28%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BRC
0 - 0
LYO
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |