Nancy II vs Forbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCS
3 - 0
NAN
57%
22%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NAN
0 - 0
LUN
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BIE
1 - 3
NAN
38%
23%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 0
NAN
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAN
3 - 2
PAG
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 1
PAG
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ILL
1 - 3
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 2
STR
22%
24%
55%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VAU
1 - 0
FOR
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 2
FOR
76%
16%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |