Nancy II vs Forbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAI
2 - 0
NAN
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 0
ILL
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AMN
0 - 2
NAN
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAN
3 - 1
BIE
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 2
NAN
16%
21%
62%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 4
FCS
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
RCE
2 - 2
FOR
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
5 - 0
COL
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
THA
1 - 1
FOR
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
RIV
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |