Nancy II vs FCA Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 2
NAN
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NAN
1 - 1
AMN
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RCE
0 - 2
NAN
43%
25%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NAN
2 - 2
SAI
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
THA
1 - 0
NAN
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FCA Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FCA
3 - 1
VAU
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
RAO
0 - 1
FCA
70%
16%
15%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 1
FCM
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 0
FCA
65%
18%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 2
FCA
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |