Nancy II vs Biesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 2
SAR
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 3
NAN
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 1
ILL
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
STR
3 - 0
NAN
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 0
VAU
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Biesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BIE
3 - 5
PAG
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 2
BIE
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BIE
1 - 3
STR
34%
23%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VAU
1 - 1
BIE
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BIE
3 - 1
MEZ
68%
18%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |