Union Namur vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Namur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 1
TON
24%
20%
56%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 0
SCH
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NAM
3 - 1
BRA
78%
14%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 3
NAM
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NAM
3 - 1
AIS
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAA
2 - 2
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
9 - 1
ARQ
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 1
RWD
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 2
LOU
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |