Namungo vs Mbao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
SIM
3 - 2
NAM
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
TAN
2 - 3
NAM
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
MBE
2 - 3
NAM
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
JKT
0 - 1
NAM
33%
29%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
NAM
1 - 0
POL
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
MBA
1 - 2
SIM
17%
26%
58%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MBA
2 - 2
JKT
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 0
MBA
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
LFC
3 - 0
MBA
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
MBA
2 - 0
KMC
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |