Namibia vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
MWI
0 - 0
NAM
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZMB
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 1
MWI
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAM
77%
17%
6%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 2
NAM
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
KEN
0 - 1
NGA
19%
28%
53%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
MEX
2 - 2
NGA
68%
21%
12%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 1
KEN
83%
13%
4%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 0
BFA
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MLI
1 - 4
NGA
24%
26%
51%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |