Namibia vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 3
NAM
32%
26%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
NAM
4 - 1
ZIM
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 0
MUS
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 0
SYC
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOZ
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
MOZ
3 - 2
MWI
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOZ
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
NIG
1 - 1
MOZ
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MOZ
0 - 1
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |