Namibia vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 3
MWI
36%
24%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 1
NAM
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
GHA
1 - 0
NAM
83%
13%
4%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 5
MAR
7%
20%
74%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
SEN
3 - 1
NAM
87%
9%
3%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2007 |
UGA
4 - 2
KEN
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
KEN
2 - 0
SOM
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
1 - 0
KEN
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
TAN
2 - 1
KEN
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
OMA
1 - 1
KEN
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |