WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Final
Global 0-3
Namibia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 0
NAM
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 1
GAM
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 1
NAM
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 2
SEN
18%
25%
57%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
GUI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
SEN
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUI
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ZIM
1 - 1
GUI
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |