Namibia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ZIM
2 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
NAM
2 - 1
KEN
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 3
MWI
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 1
NAM
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
GHA
1 - 0
NAM
83%
13%
4%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
KEN
2 - 0
GUI
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 0
ZIM
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
TOG
0 - 2
GUI
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CIV
5 - 0
GUI
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 1
NAM
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |