Namibia vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
MOZ
1 - 2
NAM
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ZAM
4 - 1
NAM
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
NAM
0 - 0
GNB
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 2
NAM
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
MWI
3 - 0
SYC
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 1
SWZ
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SWZ
0 - 0
MWI
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
MWI
0 - 0
MAR
16%
26%
58%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
MWI
11%
19%
70%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | -1 |