Namibia vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NAM
1 - 0
NIG
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
NAM
1 - 3
BDI
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BDI
1 - 3
NAM
33%
27%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAM
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 1
GUI
20%
24%
57%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
3 - 0
MWI
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MWI
1 - 2
GUI
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MWI
1 - 0
TAN
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
TAN
2 - 0
MWI
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |