CHAN Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Namibia vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 0
NAM
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
ERI
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ERI
1 - 2
NAM
7%
14%
79%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
NAM
0 - 1
COM
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
COM
0 - 2
NAM
8%
16%
77%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 0
NAM
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MOZ
3 - 2
MAD
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 0
MOZ
50%
24%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
MAD
0 - 3
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
MAD
2 - 2
COD
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |