WC Qual. Africa Primera Ronda Final
Global 4-1
Namibia vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ERI
1 - 2
NAM
7%
14%
79%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
NAM
0 - 1
COM
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
COM
0 - 2
NAM
8%
16%
77%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
NAM
1 - 4
CIV
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 0
NAM
63%
22%
14%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ERI
1 - 2
NAM
7%
14%
79%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERI
75%
17%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | -1 |