Namibia vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NAM
1 - 2
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
NAM
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
BDI
3 - 2
NAM
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
NAM
2 - 1
CMR
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CMR
1 - 1
NAM
62%
24%
14%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SWZ
0 - 1
BOT
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
EQG
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EQG
2 - 0
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |