Nalón CF vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nalón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TIN
1 - 2
NAL
36%
25%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NAL
2 - 4
LLA
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
AST
1 - 2
NAL
45%
24%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAL
2 - 1
CAN
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
COL
2 - 0
NAL
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 2
UNI
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
AST
4 - 1
UCO
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 1
AVI
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 2
UCO
21%
23%
57%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 4
RTI
52%
24%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |