Nakhon Pathom vs BG Pathum United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nakhon Pathom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NAK
0 - 3
UTH
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
KRA
1 - 1
NAK
17%
24%
59%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAK
1 - 0
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NAK
1 - 0
UDT
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 1
NAK
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
BG Pathum United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SIN
2 - 1
BAN
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
7 - 1
LAM
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
3 - 1
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RAT
3 - 0
BAN
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
UDT
1 - 3
BAN
8%
17%
75%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |