Nakhon Mae Sot United vs Rayong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nakhon Mae Sot United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
NMS
1 - 0
SKT
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NMS
1 - 0
KAP
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MCT
1 - 2
NMS
74%
16%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NMS
1 - 2
WAT
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
KKU
3 - 0
NMS
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rayong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SUK
3 - 1
RAY
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 1
NBP
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
RAT
2 - 0
RAY
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LWA
4 - 1
RAY
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAY
0 - 3
BAN
24%
25%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |