Najran vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NAJ
5 - 1
NAH
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
NAJ
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
NAJ
0 - 1
ALS
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 0
NAJ
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
ALR
1 - 0
NAJ
46%
25%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALI
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALS
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ALS
4 - 3
ALF
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 1
ALS
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
ALR
0 - 0
ALS
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |