Najran vs Al-Raed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ALN
2 - 0
NAJ
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 0
NAJ
39%
24%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
NAJ
1 - 0
BAY
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NAJ
0 - 1
ALR
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 2
NAJ
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ALR
2 - 1
ALI
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
ALS
3 - 1
ALR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALS
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NAJ
0 - 1
ALR
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ALR
1 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |